SJSU Poll: Clinton, Giuliani lead in California
Presidential candidate Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY).
By Jason Bennert
June 25, 2007
A new poll released today by the Survey and Policy Research Institute
at San Jose State University finds a pair of New Yorkers as the
first choice among Californians for the Democratic and Republican
On the Republican side, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani
leads the field with 25 percent of the vote followed by Sen. John
McCain, R-Ariz., at 14 percent and former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney
at 5 percent.
Television actor and former Sen. Fred Thompson, who has not formally
entered the race, is the second choice of California Republicans
with 16 percent of the vote, according to the poll.
"Thompson make a very strong showing even though he hasn't
even officially entered the race,'' according to poll director
and SJSU political science professor Melinda Jackson.
Sen. Hillary Clinton, D- N.Y., is the more than two-to-one choice
of Democratic primary voters with 37 percent of the vote. The
2004 Democratic vice presidential nominee John Edwards and Sen.
Barack Obama, D-Ill., are in second place with 15 percent each,
according to the poll.
Jackson said that Clinton's appeal among women voters in the
state is responsible for her strong showing. Clinton is favored
by 45 percent of female Democratic primary voters.
"Her strength among women is really amazing. It's hard to
imagine that changing,'' Jackson said.
SPRI Director Phil Trounstine said Edwards, Obama or one of the
other Democratic candidates need to begin appealing to women Democratic
voters or the California Democratic primary will be a rout.
"If Edwards, Obama or any other candidate can peel women
away from Clinton, the Democrats could have a competitive race
in California but if Clinton keeps her grasp on women it's not
going to be much of a contest here,'' Trounstine said.
The telephone poll of 1,000 California adults was conducted between
June 18-22. Poll respondents were also asked about their views
on the Iraq war and President George W. Bush. The results show
that at this point both Bush and the war are unpopular with state
"Two-thirds of voters here say it was not worth it going
to war in Iraq, and that includes more than eight in 10 Democrats,
more than six in 10 independents and fully half of the Republicans,''
The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percent.
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