Prop 82 pre-schoool education
Speier pulls ahead of Garamendi
By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field
June 3, 2006
In addition to the intensely fought contest for the Democratic
gubernatorial nomination, next week's statewide primary election
will feature a number of other contested races for state constitutional
offices, as well as Proposition 82, the pre-school education initiative.
In its final pre-election survey, The Field Poll asked likely
voters in the primary their voting preferences in these contests.
The following are the survey's highlights:
- Prop. 82 (Pre-School Education): Two previous Field Polls had
shown voters lining up in support of Prop. 82, the pre-school
education initiative, albeit by declining margins. In February
the Yes side held a 21-point advantage (55% to 34%). This declined
to a 13-point lead (52% to 39%) in April. The current poll shows
voters moving to the No side, with 46% now opposing the initiative,
while just 41% remain in favor. Another 13% are undecided.
- Lt. Governor (Democratic): In the contested Democratic primary
for Lt. Governor, State Senator Jackie Speier has pulled ahead
of State Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi and State Senator
Liz Figueroa. The current poll finds Speier the choice of 30%
of likely Democratic primary voters, with Garamendi at 25% and
Figueroa far behind at 8%. More than one in three voters (37%)
are undecided. The current findings are a reversal of voter preferences
from April when Garamendi held the lead over Speier.
- Attorney General (Democratic): Oakland Mayor Jerry Brown continues
to hold a comfortable lead over Los Angeles City Attorney Rocky
Delgadillo in the Democratic primary for Attorney General. The
current poll finds Brown favored by 51% of the likely Democratic
primary electorate, while just 24% support Delgadillo. One in
four voters (25%) are undecided.
- Controller (Republican): Former Assemblyman and taxpayer organization
president Tony Strickland leads State Senator and business controller
Abel Maldonado 32% to 21% in the GOP primary for Controller, while
4% favor other candidates. However, a large 43% of likely Republican
primary voters remain undecided.
- Controller (Democratic): Fewer than four in ten likely voters
in the Democratic primary offer a voting preference in the election
for Controller. Among those who can, preferences are closely divided.
Currently, 19% of likely voters support Board of Equalization
member John Chiang, while 18% are backing State Senator Joe Dunn.
A huge 63% remain undecided.
- Treasurer (Republican): Only about one in three likely voters
in the GOP primary currently express a preference between Assemblyman
Keith Richman and state Board of Equalization member Claude Parrish
in the Republican primary for Treasurer. Richman is currently
the choice of 18% of likely GOP primary election voters, Parrish
is favored by 17%, while 65% are undecided.
- Secretary of State (Democratic): A majority (56%) of likely
voters in the Democratic primary have still not made up their
minds in the race for Secretary of State that features two female
State Senators, Deborah Ortiz and Debra Bowen. Among those able
to choose, Ortiz currently leads Bowen 25% to 19%.