Dumping on Daly
Downtown's biggest effort to kill the progressive
cause may not succeed
November 6, 2006
It really hit me just how desperate the downtown forces are to
knock Chris Daly off the Board of Supervisors when I dropped in
on Daly's headquarters in the Mission last night and data wizard
Marc Solomon handed me an anti-Daly
door hanger featuring photos of a bottle of urine and what
appears to be human feces: "The number 1 reason to dump Chris
IS number one
(and number two
Wow. How much lower can they go? Considering that the fat cats'
most publicized gripe against Daly is his "lack of civility,"
isn't this door hanger just a little ironic?
The good news is that the Daly06 campaign has surged in energy
since two weeks ago when Matier & Ross
wrote up a Binder poll predicting a victory for downtown's
candidate, Rob Black, by six to 10 percentage points. Bill Barnes,
who helped Daly secure victory in 2002, arrived on the scene as
well as Nicole Derse, who played a key role in sending Ross Mirkarimi
to the District Five Board of Supervisors seat in 2004 as well
as the Democratic County Central Committee's Laura Spanjian, Mirkarimi
aide Boris Delepine and other highly capable activists. Board
president Aaron Peskin came down to rally the troops and did what
he could in other ways to help the cause. Even former Mayor Willie
Brown's political advisor, Jack Davis, turned up to work the phones
for Daly for a couple hours.
Here are some promising statistics: Daly's campaign has managed
to get more than 1,000 D6 residents who otherwise probably would
not have voted to cast ballots to keep their pro-tenant representative
in office and prevent Mayor Gavin Newsom from securing enough
allies on the board to sustain his vetoes of legislation no doubt
critical to those of us who are not in the upper echelons of the
middle class and are struggling to remain residents of the city.
A conservative analysis of canvas data suggests a substantial
turnout of Daly's identified supporters. If all the undecided
absentee voters cast ballots for Black, and all the identified
Black supporters vote for Black and all the identified Daly supporters
vote for Daly, Daly will take a slim majority of the absentee
Given that Black has no real volunteer foot soldiers, it's likely
Daly will command today's GOTV efforts and hang on to his seat.
And whatever you think of Daly's political style, that is very,
very good news for progressives.
If Daly succeeds, he will have fended off what is likely to go
down as the most expensive supervisorial race in San Francisco
history. Voters in D6 know what I'm talking about. Their mailboxes
have been deluged
with anti-Daly propaganda - sometimes as many as 3 pieces
on one day. A conservative estimate puts the amount of soft money
directed against Daly at roughly $250,000. That does not include
whatever Black's main campaign committee ends up shelling out.
Note that Black's backers have been forced to pay people $15 an
hour to create the illusion that he has volunteer support. If
you visit the mission and see people of color holding Black signs,
know that they likely have been paid to do so. This link
to a photo on Sfist.com drives home the point.
Let us hope that downtown's cynical effort fail. I am wearing
my green "Go Daly" Mardi Gras beads and crossing my
fingers. I hope you are, too. Better yet, go down to Daly's headquarters
on 16th Street near the intersection with Mission and join the
effort. See you there.